This article is part of our PGA Tour Stats Review series.
Match Play is a crapshoot. The WGC Match Play this week in Austin, Texas, at the Austin Country Club is a crapshoot. I have zero idea what's going to happen. Not sure any of the players do, either. As we always say, you can shoot 78 in match play and win and 68 and lose. Consequently, writing a stats column isn't easy work for this week. So here are some nuggets I've discovered:
• Rory McIlroy is playing really good golf. He was 10-under on the weekend at Bay Hill, and no one was better (via Golf Channel's Todd Lewis). Except for a three-putt on 18 after needing to give a 30-foot birdie putt a good ride to try and make a playoff, the T4 finish capped off a week where he ranked third in strokes gained–off the tee, first in approach to the green, first in driving distance at 314.7 yards and third in greens in regulation. He's absolutely pummeling it – and the nice weather in Austin should help that continue – and with the aggressive play that comes with match play, I absolutely think he has a shot to win this week and in that place called Augusta in two weeks.
• Meanwhile, I don't like Jason Day at all this week. Yes, he's the defending champion and can overpower a golf course but his new swing doesn't look right to me and he seems out of sync and out of sorts. At Bay Hill he ranked