1.  
WR  NO
Rec
119
Rec Yds
1433
Rec TD
8
Rec Avg
12.0
Rush Att
1
Rush Yds
5
Rush TD
0
Rush Avg
5.0
After smashing the catch-percentage record in 2018, Thomas took down bigger prey last year, breaking Marvin Harrison's single-season receptions record and winning Offensive Player of the Year in the process. Thomas maintained his otherworldly efficiency (81 percent catch rate, second all time only to his 2018 mark) and 9.3 YPT, eighth among the league's 30 100-target WRs, despite playing six games with a backup QB and seeing a massive bump in targets (185, 1st). Thomas' 1,725 receiving yards were also good for seventh in the record book. At 6-3, 212, Thomas has excellent size, runs precise routes and might have the best hands in the league. His rapport with completion-percentage king Drew Brees is off the charts, and no player is more reliable at catching short passes and moving the chains. Thomas also led the league in red-zone targets (26) and scored nine times (T-4th), but he doesn't have deep speed (4.57 40) and isn't likely to make the big play - only three catches of 40-plus yards last year and seven in his four-year career. Despite leading the NFL in targets by a wide margin - he had 28 more than No. 2 Julio Jones - Thomas was merely tied for ninth in catches of 20 or more yards (17). Thomas' average depth of target (aDOT) was only 7.7 yards (24th), and his 11.6 YPC ranked 20th. Bottom line, with Drew Brees set to return in 2020, Thomas is arguably the safest pick on the draft board. He's 27, has missed only one game in his career (back in 2016), and relies on short receptions from the NFL's all-time leader in completion percentage.
2.  
WR  KC
Rec
82
Rec Yds
1255
Rec TD
8
Rec Avg
15.3
Rush Att
16
Rush Yds
89
Rush TD
1
Rush Avg
5.6
The good news was Hill wasn't suspended last year. The bad - he missed nearly five games with a shoulder injury and had to play without superstar quarterback Patrick Mahomes for two and a half more when he returned. When he played, Hill was his usual superstar self, averaging 9.7 YPT and catching six passes of 40-plus yards on only 89 targets. At 5-10, 185, Hill is small but blazingly fast - 4.24 40 at his pro day, and as dangerous as anyone in the league in open space. He was rarely used in the red zone (only seven targets there in 11 full games), but he still scored seven times, thanks to his deep-ball prowess and run-after-the-catch ability. It's almost unfair one of the league's fastest and most agile receivers would be paired with the quarterback who has the biggest arm and is the best at keeping his focus downfield while escaping the pass rush. Moreover, Hill usually supplements his production with rushing stats, but last year had only 23 yards on eight carries after hurting his shoulder Week 1. With a clean bill of health, we wouldn't be surprised if he's more involved again on gadget plays. The only question for Hill at this point is volume. All-world tight end Travis Kelce is still there, Sammy Watkins restructured his contract to stick around, and fellow speedster Mecole Hardman could see his role grow. But even on a modest (for his talent) 137 targets in 2018, Hill was the league's WR1 in non-PPR.
3.  
WR  CLE
Rec
87
Rec Yds
1278
Rec TD
8
Rec Avg
14.7
Rush Att
4
Rush Yds
24
Rush TD
0
Rush Avg
6.0
Beckham played 16 games for the first time since 2016, but he wasn't at full capacity for many of them, as he battled a core muscle injury that eventually required surgical repair in January. It didn't help that the team and offense were dysfunctional, and the quarterback play surprisingly subpar. Beckham's per-play numbers were pedestrian as a result - 7.8 YPT, only three catches of 40-plus yards on 133 targets, and four touchdowns. Despite his one-handed catching ability, vertical leap and body control, Beckham saw only 14 red-zone looks, and only five of those were from inside the five. At 5-11, 198, Beckham has average size, and his timed combine speed (4.43) was good but nothing special. Beckham seems to play faster in pads, and when healthy has been one of the most dangerous open-field runners in the league. He's expected to be completely healthy for the start of training camp, and he's still only 27 years old, but given his multi-year health issues, quarterback Baker Mayfield’s struggles behind a weak offensive line and bad management from the GM down, there’s plenty of risk to match the enormous upside. One bright spot is new coach Kevin Stefanski taking over for Freddie Kitchens. Last year's offensive coordinator in Minnesota, Stefanski is likely to bring a Kyle Shanahan-style rushing offense to Cleveland, which, if successful, could generate more downfield looks to Beckham off play-action. While he could have more competition for targets - Jarvis Landry will be back, Kareem Hunt is around for a full season and new tight end Austin Hooper will see work - a healthy Beckham should still be the primary playmaker and top dog.
4.  
WR  ARI
Rec
99
Rec Yds
1245
Rec TD
9
Rec Avg
12.6
Rush Att
4
Rush Yds
23
Rush TD
0
Rush Avg
5.8
Hopkins' 2019 season wasn't what you had hoped for in the middle of the first round, but it was a far cry from the disastrous campaigns of Le'Veon Bell or David Johnson. Hopkins played through a rib injury for a good chunk of the year and sat out the regular-season finale, but he still managed a 104-1,165-7 campaign in his age-27 season. The biggest difference between 2018 and 2019 was the efficiency - Hopkins dropped from 13.7 YPC and 9.6 YPT to 11.2 and 7.8, respectively. Maybe it was the injury, or maybe Hopkins is slowing down in his late prime, but he simply stopped making big plays - only one of his 150 targets went for 40-plus yards, and 16 went for 20 or more yards. At 6-1, 212, Hopkins has good size and vies with Michael Thomas for the best hands in the game. His body control and toe tapping on the sidelines are second to none. Hopkins has never been especially fast - 4.57 40 at the combine - but his superior route running and ball skills have more than made up for it. Surprisingly, Hopkins didn't see much red-zone work last year (13 targets, T-26th), which largely explains why he scored only seven times. (In 2018, he saw 25 red-zone looks and scored 11 TDs.) Hopkins isn't huge, but he has ideal red-zone skills, so we'd expect some positive regression both in opportunity and output. Surprisingly, the Texans traded their star wideout to the Cardinals for the aforementioned Johnson in March, setting Hopkins up in what's likely to be one of the faster-paced and more prolific passing offenses in the league. With training camps possibly delayed, there's some risk in taking a receiver with a new city, team and quarterback, but Kyler Murray is a rising star, and Hopkins should be his top target ahead of holdovers Larry Fitzgerald and Christian Kirk.
5.  
WR  GB
Rec
96
Rec Yds
1188
Rec TD
10
Rec Avg
12.4
Rush Att
0
Rush Yds
0
Rush TD
0
Rush Avg
0.0
Despite missing four games with a toe injury, Adams was more or less himself last year, with numbers that prorate to 111-1329-7 on 169 targets over a full season. His touchdowns dipped, but over his last eight games, including the playoffs, he scored seven times. Adams has never been especially efficient, and last year was no exception - 12.0 YPC and 7.9 YPT. At 6-1, 215, Adams is stoutly built, runs good routes and has a great rapport with Aaron Rodgers. In fact, Adams is the only target Rodgers has seemed to trust since Jordy Nelson left town three years ago. But Adams uncharacteristically had eight drops last year (in 12 games), and with his modest speed (4.56 40) he's not a major threat to stretch the field - only 12 catches of 20-plus and two for more than 40 yards last year. The Packers lack wideout depth beyond Adams, so he'll be the unquestioned top target again, and at age 27, he's still squarely in his prime and virtually certain to get a large share of the red-zone work. Rodgers isn't what he once was, but he's still well above the threshold for supporting one of the league's top fantasy receivers.
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