Staff Picks: Week 1

Staff Picks: Week 1

This article is part of our NFL Picks series.

We're reprising this article for the 22nd season, and while only Erickson has been in it the entire way, defending champ Pianowski only took a three-year hiatus and has been here for 19 of them. 

This week we all like the Football Team, Eagles and Browns, and both Erickson and DDD picked the Football Team as their best bets. 

 EricksonPianowskiLissPayneDel Don
Cowboys +8 at BuccaneersCowboysBuccaneersBuccaneersCowboysBuccaneers
Steelers +6.5 at BillsBillsSteelersBillsBillsSteelers
Jets +5.5 at PanthersJetsJetsJetsPanthersJets
Jaguars -2.5 at TexansTexansJaguarsJaguarsJaguarsTexans
Cardinals +3 at TitansTitansCardinalsTitansCardinalsCardinals
Chargers -1 at Football TeamFootball TeamFootball TeamFootball TeamFootball TeamFootball Team
Eagles +3 at FalconsEaglesEaglesEaglesEaglesEagles
Seahawks -2.5 at ColtsColtsColtsColtsSeahawksSeahawks
Vikings -3 at BengalsVikingsBengalsBengalsBengalsVikings
49ers -7.5 at LionsLionsLionsLions49ers49ers
Browns +6 at ChiefsBrownsBrownsBrownsBrownsBrowns
Dolphins +3 at PatriotsPatriotsPatriotsPatriotsDolphinsPatriots
Broncos -3 at GiantsGiantsGiantsGiantsBroncosBroncos
Packers -3.5 vs SaintsPackersPackersSaintsPackersSaints
Bears +7.5 at RamsRamsRamsRamsRamsBears
Ravens -4.5 at RaidersRaidersRaidersRaidersRavensRavens
Best BetFootball TeamPatriotsBrownsCowboysFootball Team
2020 Best Bet Record8-8-15-11-15-128-7-25-12
2020 Unanimous Pick Record17-23    
2020 Majority Pick Record118-130-8  

We're reprising this article for the 22nd season, and while only Erickson has been in it the entire way, defending champ Pianowski only took a three-year hiatus and has been here for 19 of them. 

This week we all like the Football Team, Eagles and Browns, and both Erickson and DDD picked the Football Team as their best bets. 

 EricksonPianowskiLissPayneDel Don
Cowboys +8 at BuccaneersCowboysBuccaneersBuccaneersCowboysBuccaneers
Steelers +6.5 at BillsBillsSteelersBillsBillsSteelers
Jets +5.5 at PanthersJetsJetsJetsPanthersJets
Jaguars -2.5 at TexansTexansJaguarsJaguarsJaguarsTexans
Cardinals +3 at TitansTitansCardinalsTitansCardinalsCardinals
Chargers -1 at Football TeamFootball TeamFootball TeamFootball TeamFootball TeamFootball Team
Eagles +3 at FalconsEaglesEaglesEaglesEaglesEagles
Seahawks -2.5 at ColtsColtsColtsColtsSeahawksSeahawks
Vikings -3 at BengalsVikingsBengalsBengalsBengalsVikings
49ers -7.5 at LionsLionsLionsLions49ers49ers
Browns +6 at ChiefsBrownsBrownsBrownsBrownsBrowns
Dolphins +3 at PatriotsPatriotsPatriotsPatriotsDolphinsPatriots
Broncos -3 at GiantsGiantsGiantsGiantsBroncosBroncos
Packers -3.5 vs SaintsPackersPackersSaintsPackersSaints
Bears +7.5 at RamsRamsRamsRamsRamsBears
Ravens -4.5 at RaidersRaidersRaidersRaidersRavensRavens
Best BetFootball TeamPatriotsBrownsCowboysFootball Team
2020 Best Bet Record8-8-15-11-15-128-7-25-12
2020 Unanimous Pick Record17-23    
2020 Majority Pick Record118-130-8    
2020 Record121-127-8128-120-8118-130-8115-133-8118-130-8
2019 Record126-124-6140-110-6127-123-6127-123-6134-116-6
2018 Record125-122-9134-113-9141-106-9N/A120-127-9
2017 Record117-125-14128-114-14117-125-14N/A98-144-14
2016 Record140-111-5130-121-5123-128-5N/A132-119-5
2015 Record134-114-8120-128-8114-134-8N/A121-127-8
2014 Record123-128-5140-111-5135-116-5N/A128-123-5
2013 Record132-114-10118-128-10123-123-10N/A128-118-10
2012 Record110-140-6125-125-6121-129-6N/A123-127-6
2011 Record121-128-7134-115-7124-125-7N/A127-122-7
2010 Record129-122-5134-117-5126-125-5N/A134-117-5
2009 Record123-130-3132-121-3131-122-3N/A126-127-3
2008 Record132-114-10128-118-10124-122-10N/A130-116-10
2007 Record127-120118-129127-120N/A130-117
2006 Record118-129N/A139-108N/AN/A
2005 Record121-126N/A127-120N/AN/A
2004 Record124-124N/A130-118N/AN/A
2003 Record121-126118-129124-123N/AN/A
2002 Record113-136123-126141-108N/AN/A
2001 Record124-113117-120118-119N/AN/A
2000 Record123-117134-106141-99N/AN/A

This week, we have three unanimous picks: Football Team, Eagles and Browns. We went 17-23 on unanimous picks in 2020 and 118-130-8 on majority picks (three or more writers.) We were 23-17-1 on unanimous picks  and 130-120-6 on majority picks in 2019. 

WriterComment
EricksonI picked the Football Team to get the standard three points as a home favorite, instead the Chargers are a road favorite. I tend to like underdogs and unders more earlier in the season.
Pianowski

I always love betting a proven commodity after it's been embarrassed. Generally that's a week-to-week thing, but it also works season-to-season. Bill Belichick was just embarrassed, having his first losing season in New England. But it's an excused absence, given the strangeness of last season and all the opt-outs that riddled the Patriots defense. 

Back to the present, Belichick has a defense he likes again, and while this isn't a championship-contending team at the moment -- the offense is full of ordinary and unknown elements -- the 2021 Patriots will be a tough opponent for anyone. This is Belichick's chance to remind the Dolphins that they're still the little brother, no matter what happened last year. And we know Belichick is pretty damn good scheming against inexperienced quarterbacks.

LissI like the Browns to put up a good fight against the Super Bowl hangover Chiefs. I also like the Football Team getting a point at home, the Eagles (Jalen Hurts is underrated in my opinion, and they got their linemen back) and the Patriots (for the reasons Pianowski says.)
PayneDak is supposedly 100 percent healthy and the offensive line should be much better than last season which is why I'm taking Dallas. Does Big Ben have anything left in the tank? I think it's doubtful. I think one of the more intriguing matchups of the week is the Arizona/Tennessee game; both of those teams seem playoff bound and are in contention to win it all. Baltimore at Las Vegas is a tough one to read; it seems the Ravens should win easily but the first game in a new stadium for the home team could tip the scales towards them.
Del DonI'll happily take the home team with arguably the best defense in the league as dogs to the Chargers. I also like the Pats this week. 

The players:

• Jeff Erickson: RotoWire Senior editor, 2001, 2008, 2013, 2015, 2016 Staff Picks Champ. Writes the Weekly Rankings. Covers and roots for the Bengals.

• Scott Pianowski: Fantasy expert for Yahoo! Sports, and also contributes to Rotowire.com. 2009, 2011, 2014, 2017, 2019 and 2020 Staff Picks Champ. Roots for the Patriots.

• Chris Liss: RotoWire Managing Editor, 2000, 2002, 2006, 2018 Staff Picks Champ, 2003, 2004 co-champ. Writes East Coast Offense, Beating the Book and the Survivor column in addition to Staff Picks. Covers and roots for the Giants.

• Kevin Payne: Staff Writer, Writes our Waiver Wire column. Roots for the Bills.

• Dalton Del Don: Fantasy Expert for Yahoo! Sports, 2007 Staff Picks Champ. Roots for the 49ers.

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Chris Liss
Chris Liss was RotoWire's Managing Editor and Host of RotoWIre Fantasy Sports Today on Sirius XM radio from 2001-2022.
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