This article is part of our On Target series.
The way a lot of my drafts have shaken out this season, I quite frequently end up with a glut of running backs in the single-digit rounds and I'm generally not a fan of the many of the later-round RB's (there are a few like Jordan Wilkins and Rob Kelley in whom I invested). This often leads me to drafting players in the 12-16th rounds who might be needed as a WR3-4 or a flex play on a given week.
As such, we know that volume is the No. 1 indicator of future fantasy points. You can argue about skill or talent for weeks on end, but if a player is on the field and getting targets, they are likely to be usable for fantasy. This is a list of players who are outside the top 50 in WR ADP per FantasyPros who have a realistic path to 100 targets, ranked from most to least likely.
A.J. Green had 134 targets last season as the No. 1 WR in 16 games for the Bengals and No. 2 WR Brandon LaFell had 89 targets … and LaFell is no longer on the team. The offense projects much better in 2018 than in 2017. Ross is the projected starter opposite AJG and even if he's not great, he's an upgrade on the boring LaFell who is now departed. Joe Mixon will get all of the early down work with Jeremy Hill gone, another upgrade. Most important, Tyler Eifert seems to