This article is part of our On Target series.
A core difficulty in projecting professional football is that there is a ton of turnover year to year. Strength of schedule is often discussed but also projected incorrectly by a good amount of fantasy analysts. The best way to do it is by relying on Vegas odds and win totals for the upcoming season, as that is based off highly sophisticated computer modeling and also moved by sharp money from people with even more sophisticated models.
For our purposes today, I want to look at some wide receivers who PROJECT to have outlier schedules in 2018. Cornerback play can change a lot from year to year; guys play hurt, get a new defensive coordinator, move into the slot. A lot can change for a cornerback, but by looking at several indicating metrics (DVOA, explosive plays given up, opposing CB matchups), here is a look at five WRs with interesting pass defense/CB matchup slates in 2018.
This is cheating a little bit, as Westbrook is likely to play on the inside and Lee is probably going to win the starting job on the outside. As much as I would love to project regression for Blake Bortles and the Jaguars offense in 2018, their schedule lines up to be quite positive. There is nary a shutdown corner in the entire division (other than on their own roster) and Vontae Davis is now gone from the Colts, playing instead for the Buffalo Bills. Per the