Handicapping the NBA: Thursday Roundtable

Handicapping the NBA: Thursday Roundtable

This article is part of our Handicapping the NBA series.

Below, the RotoWire crew outlines their favorite NBA bets of the day:

Alex Barutha: Steven Adams, OVER 23.5 points + rebounds + assists (-110) vs. Kings DK Sportsbook, 11:54 AM CT

You can also get Adams to record a double-double at +162, which I also think is good value, though not quite as safe. From a game script perspective, the Thunder are in a good pace-up spot. OKC has an implied total of 114 points in this one, which is three points higher than their season average of 111. The Kings have been playing at a fast pace lately to make up for their lack of reliable center depth, tying for seventh in possessions per 48 minutes (104.0) across the past five games.

Look for Adams to bully the Kings tonight. Sacramento has also allowed the eighth-most rebounds per 48 minutes (46.8) to over this stretch, while Adams is averaging 12.0 boards across his past six. Plus, he's averaging 15.4 points across his past four, and the Kings have allowed the highest field-goal percentage at the rim (70.4) on the season. 

Nick Whalen: Warriors +10 vs. Lakers – DK Sportsbook, noon CT

These teams are at completely opposite ends of the Western Conference standings, but without LeBron James, this Lakers team is a completely different entity. With James on the floor, the Lakers have a 114.2 offensive rating, which would rank third in the NBA. Without James? The Lakers' offense sinks to 104.8 points per 100 – about the equivalent of this year's Warriors' offense, which has led to 12 wins in 58 tries. Defensively, the Lakers are remain a very good defense when James is off the floor, but their rating does slip by about 3.8 points per 100 possessions. All of this is to say that Anthony Davis is yet to prove capable of carrying this team – both when James sits for six minutes in the third quarter, or when he misses a game altogether. In the stretches of Tuesday's game against the Pels when James was off the floor, Davis was notably out of sorts and struggled to assert himself. He should have an easier time doing so against this version of the Warriors, but I like Golden State to keep this one closer than most would anticipate.

James Anderson: Domantas Sabonis Double-Double/Indiana To Win (-205)FanDuel at 12:54 PM

The Blazers have Carmelo Anthony at the 4 and a bunch of G-League caliber players behind him. Sabonis has three straight double-doubles and 11 in his last 15 games. It should be easy for him to secure his fourth straight in this matchup. With Damian Lillard out and the Pacers at home, them winning the game outright is -500, so this is a nice way to make that a much more profitable proposition.

Joe Bartel: Domantas Sabonis over 31.5 Points/Rebounds (Fanduel Sportsbook)

Sabonis is averaging 19.7 points, 13.0 rebounds and 5.7 assists since the All-Star break, and gets a nice matchup against the Portland McCollum's, err, Trail Blazers, who allow the second most points (24.9) and rebounds (12.5) per game to the power forward position. There's always a bit of a concern the Pacers could slow down the pace to the point this becomes a slogfest, but that should only aid Sabonis further, who should be able to bully Carmelo Anthony for additional rebounds. A same-game parlay featuring the over on a handful of C.J. McCollum stats like Mike Barner could be an interesting, and lucrative, wrinkle to this matchup.

Jeff Edgerton: Thunder (-7) vs. Kings (DK Sportsbook, 10:24 a.m. ET)

The Kings have struggled to keep it close versus quality teams, and the Thunder have won four straight contests. All of the Thunder starters are kicking things into gear, and I expect another decisive win from one of the Western Conference's surprise teams.

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James Anderson
James Anderson is RotoWire's Lead Prospect Analyst, Assistant Baseball Editor, and co-host of Farm Fridays on Sirius/XM radio and the RotoWire Prospect Podcast.
Joe Bartel
Joe Bartel is RotoWire's Operations Specialist and football contributor among many other things. When not at the office, he's probably playing a variety of Gen 4 console games or rooting on his beloved Green Bay Packers.
Alex Barutha
Alex is RotoWire's NBA Assistant Editor. He writes articles about daily fantasy, year-long fantasy and sports betting. You can hear him on the RotoWire NBA Podcast, Sirius XM, DraftKings Live and other platforms. Vince Carter and Alex both first dunked during their respective sophomore years of high school.
Jeff Edgerton
Jeff has provided sports content for numerous sports outlets and has played fantasy sports since scores had to be tabulated via newspaper. He started working with RotoWire in 2017. Originally from South Carolina, he's a lifelong Clemson fan now enjoying the sun in Los Angeles.
Nick Whalen
RotoWire's NBA Editor and host of the RotoWire NBA Podcast. Nick was awarded the FSWA Best Podcast -- All Sports award in 2017 and 2018. Many years ago, Stromile Swift gave Nick his unbelievably sweaty headband after a preseason game. Despite its failure to match his school colors, Nick went on to wear that headband for the entirety of his sixth grade basketball season. Catch Nick on Twitter @wha1en.
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