Nick Senzel
Nick Senzel
25-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Cincinnati Reds
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Your assessment of Senzel's 2019 season depends on your expectations. The 2016 second overall pick was sent down before Opening Day and subsequently injured his ankle in spring training, delaying his major-league debut until May. Upon his arrival, Senzel didn't exactly dominate, turning in a .256/.315/.427 season with a 24.7 K% and 14 stolen bases. That's not a bad season for an average rookie, but insufficient considering his 198 ADP in the NFBC Main Event. A red flag was his 87.7 mph average exit velocity, which ranked well below league average. One thing to watch for is to see if he starts pulling the ball more -- in the minors he consistently pulled the ball over 40% of the time, but last year that dropped to 34%. Senzel also still hasn't had a full healthy season. Between the ankle injury and a season-ending torn shoulder labrum that required surgery, he played only 104 games in 2019. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#211
ADP
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$Signed a one-year contract with the Reds in May of 2019.
Leading off in Game 1
OFCincinnati Reds
September 30, 2020
Senzel is starting in center field and leading off Wednesday in Game 1 against the Braves.
ANALYSIS
Senzel hit .074 in 30 plate appearances against lefties this season, but he only struck out four times over that tiny sample, so the Reds are showing confidence in their young outfielder by starting him against southpaw Max Fried. "We're going with our best lineup, everything that's happened in the past is behind us," Bell told C. Trent Rosecrans of The Athletic. "We knew Nick had a tough challenge this season, since then he's gotten more at-bats."
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Batting Stats
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2020
2019
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
6
6
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
2
3
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+13%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
+99%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+30%
OPS vs LHP
2018
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018vs Left .790 133 17 4 18 6 .267 .323 .467
Since 2018vs Right .699 351 46 10 32 10 .238 .299 .399
2020vs Left .383 28 1 1 2 0 .080 .143 .240
2020vs Right .761 47 7 1 6 2 .256 .319 .442
2019vs Left .898 105 16 3 16 6 .316 .371 .526
2019vs Right .689 304 39 9 26 8 .236 .296 .393
2018vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+10%
OPS on Road
2020
 
 
+6%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
+9%
OPS on Road
2018
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018Home .692 255 33 9 29 11 .235 .294 .397
Since 2018Away .759 229 30 5 21 5 .258 .319 .440
2020Home .610 50 5 2 6 2 .174 .240 .370
2020Away .644 25 3 0 2 0 .227 .280 .364
2019Home .712 205 28 7 23 9 .250 .307 .404
2019Away .773 204 27 5 19 5 .262 .324 .449
2018Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Stat Review
How does Nick Senzel compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.40
 
BB Rate
7.8%
 
K Rate
19.5%
 
BABIP
.204
 
ISO
.171
 
AVG
.186
 
OBP
.247
 
SLG
.357
 
OPS
.604
 
wOBA
.279
 
Exit Velocity
83.8 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
37.5%
 
Barrels/PA
2.6%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Juan Pablo Aravena breaks down Tuesday's Cardinals at Reds game for Dream11 contests.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
Senzel has hit at least .305, notched an ISO of at least .171 and a wRC+ of at least 147 in every full-season league he's played in while never striking out more than 20.2% of the time. He exhibits five-category potential, stealing eight bases on 10 attempts in 44 games last year and grading out as an above-average runner. Unfortunately, vertigo was an issue for the second straight season -- he missed the final week of 2017 with the condition and it cost him most of May last year. He also missed the final two months of 2018 with a broken right index finger. There is little precedent for the vertigo issue, and it adds a small layer of risk to what would otherwise seem like a risk-free profile. Defensively, Senzel can play second base and third base, but worked in left field during instructs and may eventually debut in center field, given the Reds' offseason moves. He could retain multi-position eligibility in a handful of his early big-league seasons.
A five-tool third baseman, Senzel has separated himself from the rest of the hitting prospects who went in the first round of the 2016 draft. His above-average speed makes him unique among corner-infield prospects, and in the second half of last year he started to tap into his plus raw power. Senzel hit 11 professional home runs in 130 pro games before being promoted to the Southern League, where he hit 10 long balls in just 57 games and led the league with a 184 wRC+, despite playing his home games in the pitcher-friendly ballpark in Pensacola. His season came to an odd conclusion when he was shut down in late August with symptoms of vertigo -- a condition worth tracking as spring training begins. Assuming everything checks out OK on the health front, he should begin the year at Triple-A Louisville and enter the big-league lineup as soon as the Reds find a way to make room for him at third base, which may prove difficult, given how well their infielders performed in 2017.
Cincinnati continued the trend of teams taking advanced college hitters early in the draft over top arms, selecting Senzel with the second overall pick in June. He quickly established himself as the class of the farm system, posting a .982 OPS with Low-A Dayton. His excellent approach and plate skills were on full display, with Senzel managing a 12.9 percent walk rate and a sub-20 percent strikeout rate while hitting for notable power in a spacious home park. In fact, Senzel finished third on the team in home runs despite playing only 58 games. He also runs well for his size, and could offer 10-20 steals annually in his first couple years in the big leagues. With a well-rounded skill set, Senzel could rise quickly through the Reds' system, perhaps reaching the upper levels before the end of 2017. He's already a top-30 prospect for fantasy purposes and may be in the top-10 discussion by season's end.
More Fantasy News
Retreats to bench
OFCincinnati Reds
September 26, 2020
Senzel isn't starting Saturday against the Twins.
ANALYSIS
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Starting Friday
OFCincinnati Reds
September 25, 2020
Senzel is starting in center field and batting seventh Friday against the Tigers, C. Trent Rosecrans of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Fades into reserve role
OFCincinnati Reds
September 21, 2020
Senzel remains out of the lineup for Monday's game against the Brewers.
ANALYSIS
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Sitting again Sunday
OFCincinnati Reds
September 20, 2020
Senzel is not in the lineup for Sunday's game against the White Sox.
ANALYSIS
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Not starting Friday
OFCincinnati Reds
September 18, 2020
Senzel is not in the lineup for Friday's game against the White Sox.
ANALYSIS
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