Willson Contreras
Willson Contreras
28-Year-Old CatcherC
Chicago Cubs
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Contreras was an above-average offensive catcher in 2019 for the third time in four seasons. The one "down" season saw him perform at a league-average level relative to his position. Last year looked a lot like the guy we fell in love with in 2017, which is what owners who bought him on the cheap wanted to see from the catcher. He maintains his excellence against left-handed pitching, but the bounce-back numbers from 2019 came from his resurgence against righties as he improved his OPS against them by 150 points over 2018. The Statcast numbers do not validate the performance as most of Contreras' expected statistics are nearly a full deviation below his actual outcomes from 2019. That's despite the fact his 42% hard-hit rate was easily the best of his four-year career. Bake in some regression in the numbers, but the skills here have proven to be relatively stable even if the outcomes are a bit wonky. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#113
ADP
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$Signed a one-year, $4.5 million contract with the Cubs in January of 2020.
Goes deep twice in rout
CChicago Cubs
September 25, 2020
Contreras went 2-for-3 with a walk, two home runs, three runs scored and four RBI in Friday's 10-0 win over the White Sox.
ANALYSIS
Contreras had a huge game and was instrumental in the big win over the Cubs' crosstown rivals. The catcher now has seven home runs and 26 RBI this season, and he'll look to carry some momentum into the playoffs, which start next week.
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Batting Stats
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2019
2018
2017
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
3
6
6
25
7
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
2
6
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+10%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
+35%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+21%
OPS vs LHP
2018
 
 
+17%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018vs Left .842 266 34 9 31 2 .263 .368 .474
Since 2018vs Right .767 903 106 30 109 4 .253 .340 .428
2020vs Left .566 47 6 0 4 1 .195 .298 .268
2020vs Right .765 169 27 5 18 0 .248 .361 .404
2019vs Left 1.027 85 15 6 14 0 .320 .400 .627
2019vs Right .851 324 42 18 50 1 .260 .343 .509
2018vs Left .820 134 13 3 13 1 .250 .373 .446
2018vs Right .701 410 37 7 41 3 .249 .328 .373
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+26%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
+52%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+16%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+27%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018Home .875 572 77 24 81 2 .281 .374 .501
Since 2018Away .697 597 63 15 59 4 .230 .319 .378
2020Home .850 124 19 3 15 0 .265 .411 .439
2020Away .558 92 14 2 7 1 .202 .261 .298
2019Home .958 192 31 15 37 0 .291 .365 .593
2019Away .824 217 26 9 27 1 .255 .346 .479
2018Home .821 256 27 6 29 2 .280 .363 .458
2018Away .647 288 23 4 25 2 .221 .318 .329
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Stat Review
How does Willson Contreras compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.35
 
BB Rate
9.0%
 
K Rate
25.8%
 
BABIP
.309
 
ISO
.168
 
AVG
.243
 
OBP
.357
 
SLG
.411
 
OPS
.768
 
wOBA
.326
 
Exit Velocity
80.0 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
33.9%
 
Barrels/PA
5.9%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Willson Contreras
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
14 days ago
The regular season may be winding down, but the free-agent situation remains busy and Jan Levine discusses plenty of worthy NL candidates.
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15 days ago
Even though Rich Hill has done decently, Chris Morgan still likes Franmil Reyes to produce today.
Dream11 Fantasy Baseball: Cardinals at Cubs
21 days ago
Juan Pablo Aravena breaks down Sunday's Cardinals at Cubs game for Dream11 contests.
Dream11 Fantasy Baseball: Cubs at Pirates
24 days ago
Juan Pablo Aravena breaks down Thursday's Cubs at Pirates game for Dream11 contests.
FanDuel MLB: Wednesday Targets
25 days ago
Kevin Payne checks out Wednesday's slate and thinks Javier Baez and the Cubs will tee off against Pirates southpaw Derek Holland.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
Contreras was one of many disappointing catchers as 2018 was an off year for the position. His primary downfall was a precipitous drop in power, fueled by a plummeting HR/FB mark. Contreras hits over half of his batted balls on the ground so he needs to maintain a lofty HR/FB level to generate power. While some pullback from 2017's 26% was likely, falling to a meek 9% was a shock, though supported by a drop in hard-hit rate in a year where the average rate increased. Contreras' plate skills held steady as did his BABIP, so his batting average drop was due to homers converted to outs. Contreras will be 27 years old this season, so chances are 2018 was more fluke than fact. Expect a power rebound, though capped by a 30% flyball rate. Since he'll remain a bell cow behind the dish, hitting in the meat of the Cubs' order, Contreras is a strong candidate to return top-five backstop status, likely at a discounted price.
Although he was limited to just 117 games last season, mainly due to a hamstring injury which cost him almost a month, Contreras still finished as a top-six catcher in standard formats. He posted a mighty healthy .223 ISO, which would have been a top-50 overall mark in baseball had Contreras logged enough plate appearances to qualify, and he improved both his strikeout (22.9 percent) and walk (10.5 percent) rates from his already strong marks as a rookie. The 25-year-old barrels the ball up consistently and he hits same-handed pitching well, as evidenced by his .273/.347/.486 career line against righties (.292/.379/.514 against lefties). Contreras has established himself as a legitimate middle-of-the-order bat in a good offense, and his ability to play the outfield and first base in a pinch helps pad his counting totals a little more than other starting catchers. Buster Posey may go ahead of Contreras in a lot of drafts, but Contreras could outproduce the veteran in 2018.
After taking a big step forward at the plate during his 2015 campaign at Double-A, Contreras raked at Triple-A Iowa to begin the season and forced his way onto the Cubs' 25-man roster in short order. Especially for a 24-year-old, his performance was impressive, as he continued to show a discerning eye (9.2 percent walk rate) while flashing 20-25 home run pop. Additionally, Contreras proved to be an above-average defender, which should give him the starting job again in 2017 regardless of what the team does with Miguel Montero. Although his overall line fell during the second half, Contreras cut his strikeout rate from 26.9 percent to 22.1 percent during that span. Moreover, Contreras demonstrated the ability to handle righties and lefties, swatting 10 of his 12 homers against the former while maintaining a slightly higher OPS against the latter (.854). Contreras' pop and run-production potential give him a chance to finish as a top-five catcher in 2017.
Contreras spent the whole year with Double-A Tennessee in 2015 and easily had the best season of his professional career. The 23-year-old backstop batted .333 with 75 RBI and 71 runs for the Smokies and has played his way into the Cubs' long-term plans. With Kyle Schwarber possibly sticking in the outfield, another good year in the minors for Contreras could put him in contention for a spot on the 2017 roster. His BB:K ratio was abysmal coming into 2015, but he learned to take pitches last year, and it paid off in spades. That 57:62 BB:K is appealing, especially coming from a catcher, but he'll need to do it again before we should get too excited.
More Fantasy News
Drives in lone run Friday
CChicago Cubs
September 18, 2020
Contreras went 2-for-3 with a walk and an RBI in Friday's 1-0 win over the Twins.
ANALYSIS
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Produces four hits
CChicago Cubs
September 11, 2020
Contreras went 4-for-4 with a pair of doubles, a walk, an RBI and two runs in a victory over the Reds on Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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Plates all four runs in win
CChicago Cubs
September 4, 2020
Contreras went 3-for-4 with a solo home run and four total RBI in Friday's 4-1 win over the Cardinals.
ANALYSIS
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Three-hit game Wednesday
CChicago Cubs
September 2, 2020
Contreras went 3-for-5 with a double, an RBI and three runs scored in Wednesday's 8-2 win over the Pirates.
ANALYSIS
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Hits ninth-inning homer
CChicago Cubs
August 28, 2020
Contreras went 1-for-4 with a two-run home run in Friday's loss to the Reds.
ANALYSIS
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