Willy Adames
Willy Adames
25-Year-Old ShortstopSS
Tampa Bay Rays
2020 Fantasy Outlook
There was a time when .254 with 20 homers and four steals from a shortstop would be envied. Now, the position is the infield's strongest. Adames is still just 24 years and showing signs of improvement, despite what appears to be a downturn from his rookie campaign. Adames doesn't have an elite ceiling, but he can elevate up the ranks. His contact, hard-hit rate and average exit velocity all increased during his sophomore season; the results just don't reflect the gains. Adames' xwOBA in 2018 was .293 while it was .315 last season, illustrating the better skills, though that mark is still tepid compared to other shortstops. Adames' perceived step back creates a buying opportunity for a cheap middle infielder with breakout potential, including steals as his sprint speed is well above average. Plus, he's the rare Tampa position player in the lineup nearly every day thanks to his stellar defense. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#343
ADP
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$Signed a one-year, $579,500 contract with the Rays in March of 2020.
Homers, steals base in loss
SSTampa Bay Rays
September 23, 2020
Adames went 1-for-4 with a solo home run, a stolen base and an additional run Tuesday in the Rays' 5-2 loss to the Mets.
ANALYSIS
Adames' second-inning long ball accounted for the Rays' only earned run off Mets starter Seth Lugo, who struck out seven over 6.1 innings. The shortstop later came around to cross home on a wild pitch in the sixth inning after putting himself in scoring position on a successful double steal with Joey Wendle. Adames' batting average has nosedived in September thanks to a huge uptick in strikeouts (45.6 K%), but he's still managed to be a decent power source with four home runs on the month.
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Batting Stats
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2020
2019
2018
2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
4
1
7
7
10
5
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
7
2
6
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+20%
OPS vs RHP
2020
 
 
+30%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
+42%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+16%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018vs Left .666 344 41 12 35 2 .222 .287 .379
Since 2018vs Right .798 760 100 26 72 10 .280 .348 .450
2020vs Left .992 53 11 2 7 1 .319 .396 .596
2020vs Right .766 144 18 6 14 1 .238 .313 .454
2019vs Left .575 198 18 8 15 1 .181 .235 .341
2019vs Right .817 386 51 12 37 3 .292 .358 .458
2018vs Left .675 93 12 2 13 0 .256 .333 .341
2018vs Right .786 230 31 8 21 6 .286 .354 .432
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+42%
OPS on Road
2020
 
 
+102%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
+62%
OPS on Road
2018
 
 
+8%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018Home .626 544 56 13 44 6 .224 .282 .344
Since 2018Away .887 560 85 25 63 6 .300 .375 .512
2020Home .512 78 8 1 4 1 .155 .231 .282
2020Away 1.035 119 21 7 17 1 .330 .403 .632
2019Home .557 278 19 5 16 2 .204 .253 .304
2019Away .903 306 50 15 36 2 .303 .375 .528
2018Home .778 188 29 7 24 3 .284 .346 .432
2018Away .720 135 14 3 10 3 .269 .351 .370
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Stat Review
How does Willy Adames compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.27
 
BB Rate
9.8%
 
K Rate
36.1%
 
BABIP
.388
 
ISO
.222
 
AVG
.259
 
OBP
.332
 
SLG
.481
 
OPS
.813
 
wOBA
.360
 
Exit Velocity
82.6 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
37.8%
 
Barrels/PA
8.2%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Willy Adames
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Sunday Picks
7 days ago
Even though Antonio Senzatela will be taking the mound for the Rockies, Chris Morgan likes Corey Seager as a solid option at Coors Field.
FanDuel MLB: Sunday Targets
7 days ago
Kyle Wright is having a tough go this season and Erik Halterman figures it won't get much better today against Jeff McNeil and the Mets.
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Sunday Picks
14 days ago
As Adrian Houser has struggled over his last six appearances, Chris Morgan is offering a trio of Cubs' bats.
DraftKings MLB: Thursday Breakdown
17 days ago
Christopher Olson is all over a Dodgers stack Thursday against an old familiar foe in Madison Bumgarner and the Diamondbacks.
DraftKings MLB: Wednesday Breakdown
25 days ago
Christopher Olson is all over Nelson Cruz and a Twins stack against the White Sox on Wednesday.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
Stop us if you have heard this story before: prospect crushes Triple-A pitching while fans and fantasy players pine for his promotion. Player is promoted, has early success, but then goes into a huge slump. Prospect is demoted, comes back with a new mindset, and eventually reaches the levels of success everyone hoped he would immediately enjoy. Blake Snell did that in 2017 and Adames did that in 2018. He hit .224/.227/.329 with a 34% strikeout rate before he was demoted in July, but returned to hit .305/.383/.435 over the rest of the season with a 27% strikeout rate and an 11% walk rate. The power will come as he continues to physically mature as he is still just 23 years old. He will hit 20 homers in a season before he steals 10 bases, and that could happen in 2019. Adames is not going to be a superstar, but he will be a better-than-average offensive shortstop for the foreseeable future.
There may not be a better example in the minors of the difference between game power and raw power. Adames has never hit more than 11 home runs in a season and his career-high ISO is .159. However, he is one of the strongest shortstops in pro ball and has plus raw power. As he grows more comfortable and receives more upper-level instruction, he will start to access that power more in games, and when he does, his stock will explode. His best current offensive skill is his ability to work the count and get on base at a high clip, posting walk rates over 11 percent ever since joining the Rays in 2014. This pairs nicely with his above-average hit tool, and should eventually allow him to hit near the top of a big-league lineup. Adames will chip in a handful of steals, but he is not a burner. Some have questioned whether he would stick at shortstop long term, but he silenced the doubters in 2017, and should take over as the Rays' shortstop of the future early this season.
The 21-year-old enjoyed a strong year at Double-A Montgomery, slashing .274/.366/.409 with career highs in homers, walks and stolen bases. His numbers were up across the board from his 2015 campaign at High-A Charlotte, and he now looks to take the next step at Triple-A Durham in the coming season. Part of his improvement was in the area of plate discipline, as he lowered his strikeout rate almost a full six percentage points to 21.3 percent. Adames was added to the Rays' 40-man roster on Nov. 18, and if he continues to thrive in Triple-A, he could potentially see the field with the big league club before the end of the 2017 campaign. Based on his body of work to date, Adames projects as an excellent multi-category fantasy producer whenever he does settle in with the Rays for good.
Adames came to Tampa Bay in the David Price deal and is a very intriguing prospect, despite what the stats have been thus far. He will open the season in Double-A Montgomery as a 20-year-old, making him one of the youngest players in the league at a critical position. With Daniel Robertson in front of him, the Rays have no reason to rush him to the majors, but of the two, it is likely Adames that will stick at shortstop while Robertson goes to second base. The offense should begin to look better as he fills out physically. The recent acquisition of Brad Miller under a few more years of player control almost ensures Adames won’t be seen until 2018.
Adames was the third piece the Rays received in the David Price deal, and unlike Drew Smyly and Nick Franklin, Adames is several years away from the big leagues. However, he has the potential to be the best player of the three, especially if he can stick up the middle. A bat-first shortstop, Adames spent his entire age-18 season at the Low-A affiliates of the Tigers and the Rays, compiling a .271/.353/.429 slash line with eight home runs and six steals in 514 plate appearances. For an 18-year-old to do that in a full season league suggests he is advanced enough with the stick to move fast if his defense does not hold him back. An optimistic ETA would be late 2016, with a more likely debut in the summer of 2017. Still, in dynasty leagues where each team gets 10 minor league keepers, Adames needs to be owned based on his potential production in power and batting average, which should play even if he gets moved to third base.
More Fantasy News
Slumping in September
SSTampa Bay Rays
September 21, 2020
Adames, who went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in a loss to the Orioles on Sunday, is nevertheless slashing just .104/.173/.229 over the 52 plate appearances encompassing his last 13 games.
ANALYSIS
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Not in lineup Saturday
SSTampa Bay Rays
September 19, 2020
Adames isn't starting Saturday against the Orioles.
ANALYSIS
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Homers, drives in three
SSTampa Bay Rays
September 17, 2020
Adames went 2-for-4 with a three-run home run in a win over the Orioles in the second game of Thursday's doubleheader.
ANALYSIS
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Not starting Friday
SSTampa Bay Rays
September 11, 2020
Adames is out of the lineup Friday against the Red Sox, Juan Toribio of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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On base thrice in loss
SSTampa Bay Rays
September 9, 2020
Adames went 1-for-2 with two walks in a loss to the Nationals on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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