Amed Rosario
Amed Rosario
24-Year-Old ShortstopSS
New York Mets
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Rosario now has two full seasons under his belt as a major leaguer before his 24th birthday. Normally, this would be a bigger story if it weren't for the wunderkinds in Atlanta and Washington blowing the curve for others. You can see how Rosario is progressing offensively at the plate, improving his strikeout rate in each of his three seasons and looking more like a hitter rather than someone who is in the majors for his glove. His speed is a weapon he used to leg out 18 infield hits and steal 24 bases. The happy fun ball is mostly to thank for the 15 homers, though he increased his average exit velocity by two mph last season and spiked his hard-hit rate up seven percentage points. It was a complete season for Rosario, and there could be even more in the tank for him in 2020. A 20-20 season with a .300 average cannot be ruled out as he completes his physical maturity. Last season to buy at a discount. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#137
ADP
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$Signed a one-year contract with the Mets in March of 2020.
Smacks fourth homer
SSNew York Mets
September 27, 2020
Rosario went 1-for-2 with a solo home run during a 4-3 loss to the Nationals in the first game of Saturday's doubleheader.
ANALYSIS
Andres Gimenez got the start at shortstop for the matinee but left in the second inning with an oblique strain, and Rosario then took Max Scherzer deep in the fourth as his replacement. After an 0-for-3 showing in the nightcap, Rosario is wrapping up a tough campaign that's put his spot as the Mets' shortstop of the future in jeopardy, posting a .245/.266/.367 slash line with four homers, 15 RBI, 20 runs and a baffling zero steals on only one attempt through 45 games.
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Batting Stats
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2020
2019
2018
2017
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
6
2
8
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
7
4
5
5
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+21%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
+44%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
+24%
OPS vs LHP
2018
 
 
+14%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018vs Left .810 370 60 9 38 7 .301 .341 .468
Since 2018vs Right .672 1020 111 19 100 36 .259 .292 .380
2020vs Left .771 60 9 1 9 0 .316 .350 .421
2020vs Right .534 83 11 3 6 0 .195 .205 .329
2019vs Left .887 162 29 6 18 3 .311 .360 .527
2019vs Right .713 493 46 9 54 16 .280 .311 .402
2018vs Left .743 148 22 2 11 4 .284 .318 .426
2018vs Right .654 444 54 7 40 20 .247 .288 .366
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+31%
OPS on Road
2020
 
 
+67%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
+26%
OPS on Road
2018
 
 
+32%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018Home .609 658 73 12 58 14 .224 .268 .341
Since 2018Away .798 732 98 16 80 29 .310 .339 .459
2020Home .461 64 9 0 5 0 .194 .219 .242
2020Away .771 79 11 4 10 0 .286 .304 .468
2019Home .666 315 31 8 31 5 .248 .292 .374
2019Away .837 340 44 7 41 14 .323 .352 .484
2018Home .579 279 33 4 22 9 .204 .252 .327
2018Away .763 313 43 5 29 15 .303 .334 .429
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Stat Review
How does Amed Rosario compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.12
 
BB Rate
2.7%
 
K Rate
23.1%
 
BABIP
.305
 
ISO
.119
 
AVG
.252
 
OBP
.272
 
SLG
.371
 
OPS
.643
 
wOBA
.278
 
Exit Velocity
80.4 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
22.0%
 
Barrels/PA
2.8%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Amed Rosario
Farm Futures: Final Top 400 Update
Yesterday
James Anderson summarizes his final full-scale 2020 update of the Top 400 Prospect Rankings, in which Pirates third baseman Ke'Bryan Hayes enters the top 20.
Collette Calls: Accountability Part 1 -- Hitter Bold Predictions
2 days ago
Jason Collette revisits his bold predictions for hitters this season. Where did he hit and where did he miss? And what would his Sam Hilliard-inspired tattoo say?
Regan's Rumblings: Looking to Leave Impression
15 days ago
As teams start to evaluate young talent, David Regan looks at a handful of players, like Bobby Dalbec in Boston, hoping to end this season having made a good impression.
Dream11 Fantasy Baseball: Phillies at Mets
23 days ago
Juan Pablo Aravena breaks down Monday's Phillies and Mets game for Dream11 contests.
Dream11 Fantasy Baseball: Mets at Yankees
32 days ago
Juan Pablo Aravena breaks down Sunday's Mets at Yankees game for Dream11 contests.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2015
A second-half stolen-base surge has propelled Rosario up the already-loaded shortstop rankings. After the break, the 23-year-old speed merchant swiped 18 bases in 24 attempts while also chipping in five homers. As impressive as this stint was, Rosario carries a lot of risk as his plate skills need work for a player of this ilk, especially since he's not a power or batting-average asset. He walked only 5% of the time while punching out at a 20% clip. Both need work for Rosario to be assured of a spot at the top of the Mets' order, where he can put his wheels to use. There's reason for optimism as his contact skills improved over the second half, often telling for young players. Still, the range of outcomes is wide as a slide could push Rosario low in the order where his opportunities to run would suffer. It comes down to your risk profile. How much do you want to pay for speed upside from a player with middling power and batting-average potential?
For all the hype surrounding Rosario as a prospect and buzz around his arrival to the big leagues, his debut sure was a disappointment. He walked at a meager 1.8 percent clip while striking out nearly 29 percent of the time, and when he did make contact, it typically ended with a whimper. Rosario drove the ball into the ground half the time (50.9 percent groundball rate) and posted an 84.3 mph average exit velocity, which ranked 328th among 387 players with at least 100 at-bats. He showed an ability to hit at the upper levels of the minors and he can run, but the 22-year-old may be a near-zero in the power department in the coming seasons, and there's no guarantee he'll hit major-league pitching for a high average. The pedigree will entice some to gamble on a bounce-back, but the upside for 2018 isn't all that high.
Patience is often preached when analyzing toolsy high-pedigree prospects who are not producing in the lower levels, and with good reason. Rosario posted a 97 wRC+ with zero home runs and 12 steals as a 19-year-old at High-A St. Lucie in 2015, but he broke out in a major way last year, as the production finally started to match the talent. A 132 wRC+ and 36:21 K:BB in 66 games at High-A earned him a midseason promotion to the Eastern League, and that is when things started to get a little absurd. His numbers as a 20-year-old with Double-A Binghamton can almost be thrown out, considering his .433 BABIP. However, even when accounting for luck, that kind of success means something, given his age, level and defensive home. Scouts agree, as there are few players in the minors who receive the rave reviews that follow whenever Rosario's name gets brought up. He should offer across-the-board production in his prime years, with batting average, steals and runs being his top contributions. He could take over at shortstop for the Mets as early as this summer.
Rosario was signed out of the Dominican Republic in 2012, and has emerged as the organization’s token toolsy shortstop who is a long way from the big leagues. He only has seven games in a full season league on his resume. In 290 plate appearances at short-season Brooklyn last season, he slashed .289/.337/.380 with one home run and seven steals. At 6-foot-2, 170 pounds, he has some filling out to do, but there is little doubt that he will be able to stick at shortstop. Owning Rosario in a dynasty league requires extreme patience, but the payoff could be huge down the line. He has the most upside of any hitter in the Mets’ system, but the risk is equally high. If everything clicks, he will be a top-10 shortstop with offensive contributions across the board, but he may not reach the majors until 2018.
More Fantasy News
Could transition to center field
SSNew York Mets
September 14, 2020
Rosario could be moved to center field in 2021, Tim Britton of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Third consecutive day off
SSNew York Mets
September 6, 2020
Rosario is not in Sunday's starting lineup against the Phillies.
ANALYSIS
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On bench again Saturday
SSNew York Mets
September 5, 2020
Rosario will sit again Friday against the Phillies.
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Not starting Friday
SSNew York Mets
September 4, 2020
Rosario is out of the lineup Friday against the Phillies, Deesha Thosar of the New York Daily News reports.
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Drives in three
SSNew York Mets
September 3, 2020
Rosario went 3-for-4 with three RBI and a run scored Thursday against the Yankees.
ANALYSIS
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