Avisail Garcia
Avisail Garcia
28-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Tampa Bay Rays
2019 Fantasy Outlook
It was easy to scream regression after Garcia's great 2017 season and indeed the numbers dropped off dramatically, though his struggles were tied closely to injuries. The .392 BABIP from 2017 that everyone pointed to absolutely plummeted to .271, but that's not just normal regression/variance -- it's clear that he was not close to right, physically. A hamstring strain suffered at the end of April lingered and it was announced in mid-August that he was playing through a knee issue which would require a scope after the season. Over the final two months, he hit just .197/.271/.360. One positive was that despite the lower-body injuries, Garcia flashed more power than ever before, setting a new career high in homers despite logging just 385 plate appearances. He was non-tendered by the White Sox, and while his slash line would likely bounce back with regular work, his outfield defense is so poor that he may struggle to find a steady role. Read Past Outlooks
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$Signed a one-year, $3.5 million contract with the Rays in January of 2019.
Day off Tuesday
OFTampa Bay Rays
September 17, 2019
Garia is not starting Tuesday against the Dodgers, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
The Rays' lineup will be a man short with the series being played under National League rules. Garcia owns a strong .371/.395/.629 line over his last nine games, so it would be a surprise to see him stuck on the bench for the entirety of the series.
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Batting Stats
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
Since 2017vs Left .872 409 55 12 45 5 .323 .372 .500
Since 2017vs Right .781 1052 126 44 153 13 .273 .322 .459
2019vs Left .776 175 21 7 19 0 .263 .326 .450
2019vs Right .791 340 38 12 50 10 .287 .332 .459
2018vs Left .810 93 12 3 6 1 .279 .333 .477
2018vs Right .690 292 35 16 43 2 .222 .264 .426
2017vs Left 1.030 141 22 2 20 4 .424 .454 .576
2017vs Right .837 420 53 16 60 1 .298 .355 .482
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
OPS at Home
OPS at Home
OPS on Road
OPS at Home
Since 2017Home .835 692 93 27 97 9 .294 .348 .487
Since 2017Away .781 769 88 29 101 9 .281 .325 .456
2019Home .876 242 34 12 43 4 .290 .355 .521
2019Away .708 273 25 7 26 6 .268 .308 .401
2018Home .659 178 18 6 18 0 .240 .275 .383
2018Away .772 207 29 13 31 3 .233 .285 .487
2017Home .916 272 41 9 36 5 .333 .390 .526
2017Away .857 289 34 9 44 0 .327 .370 .487
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Stat Review
How does Avisail Garcia compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against this season's data (min 200 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB Rate
K Rate
Exit Velocity
89.7 mph
Hard Hit Rate
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
Garcia has long elicited comparisons to Miguel Cabrera for his power hitter’s physique (6-foot-4, 240 pounds) and Venezuelan heritage, but it wasn’t until 2017 that the 26-year-old’s production bore any resemblance to the two-time MVP’s. Though Garcia’s power numbers tapered off after April with his .176 ISO ranking 83rd among qualified hitters, a .330 average and 137 wRC+ were certainly Miggy-like and offered one of the few silver linings in a bleak season for the South Siders. A stark decline in strikeout percentage (to 19.8%) was instrumental in Garcia’s breakthrough, but that wouldn’t have been possible without a .392 BABIP, a bloated figure even for someone with a lifetime .340 mark. A decline in batting average seems inevitable even if Garcia further improves his plate discipline, so he’ll need to raise his slugging numbers if he’s to maintain the overall value he brought in 2017. It’s not out of the question for Garcia as he heads into his age-27 campaign, but it will require a bit of faith from those who select him.
Garcia feels much older than he really is. It does seem like we have been teased with his potential for years upon end, but he has yet to turn 26. In the 1500+ major league plate appearances he has amassed thus far, he has a triple slash line of .258/.310/.385 which is only rosterable in deep single-league formats. He is large, but doesn't hit with enough power and that size keeps him in the bottom half of the lineup. He doubles down on the pain by hitting way too many balls into the dirt as his groundball rate has been at least 55 percent in all but one of his seasons in the big leagues. If this were a speedster we were talking about, there is reason for excitement, but this is a lumbering ox that can't loft the ball and strikes out too much. He is still young enough to turn it around, but time's a-wasting.
Garcia’s star diminished over the course of the 2015 season. He entered the year as a potential cornerstone in the heart of the order, but he ended up with an 89 OPS+, a .365 slugging percentage, and a 50 percent success rate in 14 stolen-base attempts. He actually had a high average on balls in play (.320 BABIP), but the problem was he rarely put the ball in play (70 percent contact rate). He was also pretty bad in right field, so he could lose playing time moving forward if the club decides to emphasize outfield defense. He’s still a young, developing player who has flashed an interesting power/speed combo in the minor leagues. Garcia should get another crack at the White Sox’s starting right field gig to start 2016 thanks to the team trading Trayce Thompson to Los Angeles.
Garcia's biggest accomplishment of 2014 was just getting back onto the field. He was expected to sit for the season after tearing his labrum in the ninth game of the year, but defied expectations and was back in the lineup by mid-August. Garcia was less than stellar in his subsequent 156 plate appearances, but the Sox were excited about Garcia's bat before he hit the DL, and he has surprising speed on the basepaths for a man of his size (6-foot-4, 240 pounds). The power should come as he embarks on his age-23 season, and he should be given the keys to a spot in the heart of the order come spring training, along with the team's everyday right field gig.
The White Sox acquired Garcia from the Tigers as part of the Jose Iglesias-Jake Peavy three-way deal with the Red Sox, and he quickly became a fixture in the middle part of their lineup. He assumed right field once Alex Rios was traded to the Rangers, and by most measures, he played the position well enough to slot in as the team's everyday man there in 2014. Garcia slashed .304/.327/.447 after the trade, but that line fell to .219/.256/.384 against left-handed pitching. Garcia drew comparisons to former teammate Miguel Cabrera as he came up through the Tigers' organization. That valuation may be a bit unfair, but Garcia possesses all five tools, and it looks like he began to put it all together with a .960 OPS between the Chicago and Detroit Triple-A affiliates. He could hit as high as third for the 2014 White Sox as long as he continues to produce with his bat, and Garcia's status as a somewhat overlooked prospect may keep some owners from realizing the 20-homer, 20-steal potential that his still tools provide.  
While Garcia has always been highly regarded by the Tigers' brass, he did not really make much of a splash in the prospect scene until last season. After hitting .299/.333/.455 with 14 homers and 23 steals in 481 at-bats split between High-A Lakeland and Double-A Erie, Garcia received a surprise promotion at the end of August. He quickly worked his way into the lineup, seeing significant action against left-handed pitchers throughout September and the postseason. The 21-year-old outfielder finished his first cup of coffee in the majors with a slash line of .319/.373/.319 in 47 at-bats. Given the lack of plate discipline (79:451 BB:K) Garcia showcased throughout the minors and his unsustainable BABIP (.405) during his September promotion, struggles with batting average should be expected. That said, Garcia is considered a legitimate five-tool prospect by many scouts and has an alluring mix of power and speed potential. Garcia is expected to be in the mix for a platoon spot in left field to open the 2013 campaign, likely splitting time with left-handed hitter Andy Dirks.
Garcia has flashed five-tool skills over the past few seasons and is considered one of the more promising positional prospects in the Tigers system. He hit .264 with 11 homers and 14 steals in 488 at-bats with High-A Lakeland in 2011. Despite the promise he has shown, Garcia remains a project due to his poor pitch recognition. The 20-year-old struck out 132 times while taking just 18 walks last season. The physical ability is present, but Garcia will have to show marked improvements in his plate discipline before getting a legit look from the Tigers.
More Fantasy News
Knocks in three during win
OFTampa Bay Rays
September 14, 2019
Garcia went 2-for-5 with an RBI single and a two-run double in a win over the Angels on Friday.
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Singles, scores in return
OFTampa Bay Rays
September 13, 2019
Garcia (glute) went 1-for-4 with a run in a loss to the Rangers on Thursday.
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Back in action
OFTampa Bay Rays
September 12, 2019
Garcia (glute) is starting in center field and hitting leadoff Thursday against the Rangers, Josh Tolentino of The Athletic reports.
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Day-to-day with glute strain
OFTampa Bay Rays
September 11, 2019
Garcia is day-to-day with a glute strain, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
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Sitting out Wednesday
OFTampa Bay Rays
September 11, 2019
Garcia (hip) is not in the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Rangers, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
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