This article is part of our Rebound Candidate series.
Thanks for reading the other player-specific reports. The subject of bounce-back players can become repetitive, but I hope I did enough to make each spin unique and useful.
Let's move to our final names to know, listed in order of NFBC average draft position as of Feb. 26:
Marcus Stroman, SP, Blue Jays (161.43)
The right-hander is now two years removed from surgery to repair the torn ACL in his left knee. A healthy plant leg should help his delivery remain clean, which should lead to better break on his pitches.
Plus, his 4.37 ERA last year was accompanied by a 3.71 FIP (and a 3.41 xFIP). Stroman's control remained pristine (2.38 BB/9), and the homer allowance (0.93 per nine) was notable but easily correctable, considering he's one of the game's biggest groundball pitchers at 60.1 percent. Also, the left-on-base percentage was an absurdly low 68.6, meaning he was dealing with plenty of bad luck.
Stroman's strikeouts should rise, considering his 9.3 swinging-strike rate last year, and he's a season removed from an elite 67.0 first-strike percentage. Those two numbers put him on course for a revelation in punch-outs.
The 25-year-old is the safest rebound candidate on this list. Put it on the board: He'll have a better fantasy season than last year's breakout darling Aaron Sanchez, whom I loved heading into last year. Lesson: Adjust expectations